By Stefan J. Bos, Chief International Correspondent Worthy News
MOSCOW/KYIV (Worthy News) – A senior aid of Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned the West is underestimating the chance of nuclear war over Ukraine and said that country could “disappear.”
Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev stressed that Russia would launch a pre-emptive strike if Ukraine gets nuclear weapons.
Russia, which has the world’s largest nuclear arsenal, accused the West of waging a proxy war with Russia over Ukraine that could escalate into a much bigger conflict.
“There are irreversible laws of war. If it comes to nuclear weapons, there will have to be a pre-emptive strike,” Medvedev cautioned.
Allowing Ukraine nuclear weapons – a step no Western state has publicly proposed – would mean “a missile with a nuclear charge coming to them”, Medvedev was quoted as saying.
“The Anglo-Saxons do not fully realize this and believe that it will not come to this. It will under certain conditions.”
He also made clear that the armed conflict in Ukraine could take decades. “This conflict will last for a very long time. For decades, probably. This is a new reality, “ added Medvedev in several statements to Russian and social media, which Worthy News verified.
The West says it wants to help Ukraine win its conflict with Russia, and Western countries have supplied massive amounts of modern arms and ammunition to Kyiv.
But U.S. President Joe Biden has tried to avoid a confrontation between the U.S.-backed NATO alliance and Russia amid fears it would lead to World War Three.
Yet the harsh words by Medvedev, a former Russian president, underscored international concerns that Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine triggered the deadliest European conflict since World War Two.
Hundreds of thousands of people have been killed or seriously wounded in the armed conflict.
The war also prompted the biggest confrontation between Moscow and the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, which brought the world close to nuclear war.
Its roots date back to 2014 when a pro-Russian president was toppled in Ukraine’s Maidan popular uprising, Russia annexed the Crimea peninsula and Russian-backed separatists seized swathes of eastern Ukraine.
Despite mounting suffering on both sides, Medvedev said that peace negotiations were impossible with “the clown Zelensky” a reference to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
“Everything always ends in negotiations, and this is inevitable, but as long as these people are in power, the situation for Russia will not change in terms of negotiations.”
However, Medvedev said whatever the outcome of future talks, current “Ukraine will disappear” and that there is “the risk of a resumption of conflict in Europe and in the world.”
He cited three options for “the process of disintegration of this dying state as a result of the lost military conflict.”
Medvedev said one path was the “slow erosion of Ukrainian statehood with the gradual loss of the remaining elements of state sovereignty.”
No more than “a certain “no-man’s-land” Ukrainian territory would remain, squeezed between areas controlled by Russia and lands controlled by European Union nations.
This “new” Ukraine would “immediately declare its desire to join the European Union and NATO, which is happening in the medium term.” In that scenario, he said, “The armed conflict resumes after a short time, turning into a permanent one, but with the threat of its rapid flow into a full-fledged Third World War.”
The second option was Ukraine’s “instant collapse with simultaneous annihilation of all signs of statehood.” He said that “the resumption of a full-fledged conflict or its escalation into a world war, in this case, can be considered moderate.”
Medvedev predicted that eventually, the “government of Ukraine” may be “formed in exile in one of the European countries.”
In that case, “The conflict ends with reasonable guarantees of its non-renewal in the near future. But with the preservation of the terrorist activity of the Ukrainian Nazis, who will be dispersed on the territory of the EU states that have received Western Ukrainian lands.”
Thirdly, he said, western regions of Ukraine may come “under the control of a number of European Union states with the subsequent “anschluss” of these lands by recipient states.”
Medvedev suggested that the “people of the central and some other ownerless regions of Ukraine, within the framework of Article 1 of the UN Charter, immediately declare their self-determination by joining the Russian Federation.”
This could ensure that “the conflict ends with sufficient guarantees of its non-renewal in the long term.”
However, there “are simply no other options. And this is already clear to everyone, even if it is unpleasant for someone out there in the West to admit it,” Medvedev claimed.
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